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Wani masanin dabarun kasuwa ya ce siginar daga Tarayyar Tarayya na cewa za a rage yawan kudin ruwa a shekarar 2024 ya haifar da kyakkyawan yanayi ga kasuwar gwal, wanda zai haifar da farashin zinare ya kai matsayin tarihi a sabuwar shekara.
George Milling Stanley, babban masanin dabarun gwal na Dow Jones Global Investment Consulting, ya ce ko da yake farashin gwal ya yi tashin gwauron zabi a kwanan nan, amma har yanzu akwai sauran damar ci gaban kasuwa.
Ya ce, "Lokacin da zinari ya sami ƙarfi, babu wanda ya san girman girmansa, kuma a shekara mai zuwa za mu iya ganin babban tarihi."
Ko da yake Milling Stanley yana da kyakkyawan fata game da zinare, ya kara da cewa ba ya tsammanin farashin zinare zai karye cikin kankanin lokaci.Ya yi nuni da cewa, ko da yake Tarayyar Tarayya na fatan rage yawan kudin ruwa a shekara mai zuwa, amma tambayar ta kasance a yaushe ne za a ja da baya.Ya kara da cewa a cikin dan kankanin lokaci, ya kamata al'amurran da suka shafi lokaci su kiyaye farashin zinariya a cikin yanayin da ake ciki.
A cikin hasashen hukuma na Dow Jones, ƙungiyar Milling Stanley ta yi imanin cewa akwai yuwuwar 50% na cinikin zinari tsakanin $1950 da $2200 kowace oza a shekara mai zuwa.A lokaci guda kuma, kamfanin ya yi imanin cewa yuwuwar cinikin zinari tsakanin $2200 da $2400 a kowace oza shine 30%.Dao Fu ya yi imanin cewa yuwuwar cinikin zinari tsakanin dala 1800 zuwa dala 1950 a kowace oza shine kawai 20%.
Milling Stanley ya bayyana cewa, lafiyar tattalin arzikin kasar za ta nuna yadda farashin zinare zai tashi.
Ya ce, "Ina jin cewa za mu shiga wani lokaci na ci gaba a kasa, mai yiwuwa koma bayan tattalin arziki.Amma tare da shi, bisa ga fitattun ma'auni na Fed, ana iya samun hauhawar hauhawar farashin kaya.Wannan zai zama kyakkyawan yanayi na zinari. ""Idan aka sami koma bayan tattalin arziki mai tsanani, to, dalilan mu na rashin tabbas za su shigo cikin wasa."
Ko da yake ana sa ran yuwuwar yuwuwar haɓakar zinare za ta jawo hankalin sabbin masu saka hannun jari na dabaru, Milling Stanley ya bayyana cewa tallafin zinare na dogon lokaci yana nuna cewa haɓakar farashin zinare zai ci gaba a cikin 2024.
Ya ce rikice-rikicen biyu da ke ci gaba da gudana za su ci gaba da samun mafakar siyan zinari.Ya kara da cewa shekarar zaben da ba ta da tabbas kuma "mummuna" kuma za ta kara samun mafakar zinare.Ya kuma bayyana cewa karuwar bukatar Indiya da sauran kasuwanni masu tasowa za su ba da tallafi ga gwal na zahiri.
Ci gaba da sayan zinari da manyan bankunan kasashe daban-daban za su yi zai kara dagula sabon salo a kasuwa.
Ya ce, "Yana da ma'ana don samun riba lokacin da farashin zinari ya wuce $2000 a kowace oza a cikin shekaru biyar da suka gabata, kuma ina tsammanin hakan ya sa farashin gwal na iya faɗuwa ƙasa da $2000 a shekara mai zuwa.Amma a wani lokaci, har yanzu na yi imani cewa farashin zinariya zai tsaya tsayin daka sama da $2000.“Tsawon shekaru 14, babban bankin kasar ya ci gaba da sayen kashi 10 zuwa 20% na bukatar shekara.A duk lokacin da akwai alamun rauni a farashin gwal, wannan babban tallafi ne, kuma ina tsammanin wannan yanayin zai ci gaba har tsawon shekaru da yawa. ”
Milling Stanley ya bayyana cewa yana sa ran za a sayo duk wani muhimmin siyar da zinari da aka yi cikin sauri a cikin yanayin rashin tabbas na tattalin arzikin duniya da rudanin siyasa.
Ya ce, “Daga mahangar tarihi, sadaukarwar zinari ga masu saka hannun jari koyaushe yana da yanayi biyu.A tsawon lokaci, ba kowace shekara ba, amma bayan lokaci, zinari na iya taimakawa wajen haɓaka dawo da ma'auni na zuba jari mai dacewa.A kowane lokaci, zinari zai rage haɗari da rashin daidaituwa a cikin madaidaicin jakar jarin da ya dace.""Ina tsammanin wannan sadaukarwar biyu na dawowa da kariya don jawo hankalin sabbin masu saka hannun jari a cikin 2024."